Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Nanos: Tories by 9.6

Today's Nanos poll shows little change from yesterday's. The 9-point Tory lead in Ontario persists, while Nanos still has the Liberals essentially tied with the Conservatives in BC. In Québec, the Liberals register a small rise at the expense of the Tories, but the opposite is true in the Atlantic.

The Grits take a seat from the Bloc in Québec, but lose one to the Tories in the Atlantic:

CON - 148
LIB - 79
BQ - 46
NDP - 35

The average national Conservative lead is 10.8%. Save for the few days after the release of the COMPAS poll, we've been around 11% for the past two weeks.

Post-debate polling now accounts for 79% of the projection, but except for the NDP's increase in Québec, there has been virtually no change.

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