Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Thursday, March 24, 2011

Ipsos: Tories by 19 (!)

The latest Ipsos poll is a blockbuster for the Conservatives. They lead by double digits in Atlantic Canada and Ontario, are at a respectable 25% in Québec, and are at over 50% in each of the Western regions. The Bloc remains strong, but for both the Liberals and the NDP, this survey's numbers are a disaster across the board.

Frank Graves of EKOS, however, has suggested that the latest EKOS numbers, which will be released tomorrow, are completely different. So stay tuned...

In the meantime, the aggregate projection moves back up for the Tories, but not quite back into majority territory:

CON - 154
LIB - 72
BQ - 51
NDP - 31

The average national Conservative lead is 12.1%.

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