Latest national poll median date: October 20
Projections reflect recent polling graciously made publicly available by pollsters and media organizations. I am not a pollster, and derive no income from this blog.

Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Harris-Decima: Tories Lead by 4

This week's Harris-Decima poll has results in line with recent polling averages everywhere in the country, except for a very strong 44% for the Bloc in Québec. Surprising results from last week's Harris-Decima, i.e. the 20-point Liberal lead in Atlantic Canada and the virtual Grit/Tory tie in BC, were replaced by more "normal" numbers (Liberal edge in the Atlantic, Tory lead in BC). The Ontario numbers remain essentially unchanged.

The only change in the projection is a 2-seat swap from the Liberals to the Bloc:

CON - 132
LIB - 90
BQ - 51
NDP - 35

The national Conservative lead is 3.5%.

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